Swift Holdings (SWFT) IPOreport
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We are a multi-faceted transportation services company and the largest truckload carrier in North America

Swift Holdings (SWFT) $943mm IPO
with a market cap of $1.8bb at the price range mid-point of $14
Scheduled for Wednesday, December 15, 2010

CONCLUSION

Very poor financials, stay away from SWFT at the price range mid-point of $14

. Consistently lost money over the past three years
. Negative tangible net worth
. Interest expenses about the same as operating income
. Low operating profit margin compared to others mentioned in the SEC filing
Trying to sell 53% of the company in the IPO

Valuation Ratios

IPO Mrkt

Price /

Price /

Price /

Price /

Operating

annualizing Sept 9 mos

Cap (mm)

Sales

Earnings

BookValue

TangibleBV

Income %

Swift Holdings (SWFT)

$1,784

0.6

-17

178.4

-2.9

8%

Werner Enterprises (WERN)

$1,670

0.9

22

2.2

2.2

7%

Knight Transportation (KNX)

$1,650

2.3

28

3.0

3.0

13%

Heartland Express (HTLD)

$1,500

3.0

24

4.7

4.7

18%

BUSINESS

. Largest truckload carrier in North America. At March 31, 2010, operated 12,500 company-owned tractors, 3,700 owner-operator tractors, 49,400 trailers, and 4,300 intermodal containers from 35 major terminals and multiple other locations strategically positioned throughout the United States and Mexico.

. Top fifteen customers by revenue in 2009 included Coors, Costco, Dollar Tree, Georgia-Pacific, Home Depot, Kimberly-Clark, Lowes, Menlo Logistics, Procter & Gamble, Quaker Oats, Ryder Logistics, Sears, Target, and Wal-Mart.

. SWFT’s goals are to grow revenue in excess of 10% annually over the next several years and increase profitability.

RECYCLED VERY LEVERAGED BUYOUT

Founded by the CEO, Mr. Moyes, and his family in 1966. Swift Transportation became a public company in 1990, Its stock traded on the NASDAQ stock market under the symbol "SWFT" until May 10, 2007, when a company controlled by Mr. Moyes completed the 2007 Transactions, which resulted in its becoming a private company and was a "going private transaction" under applicable SEC rules

COMPETITION

Werner Enterprises, Inc. (WERN); Knight Transportation (KNX); Heartland Express, Inc. (HTLD)

USE OF PROCEEDS, $888mm

Repay debt

Swift Holdings (SWFT)

SWFT, C, 6

Post IPO shares: 127mm

Trucking

Phoenix AZ

2007

2008

2009

Sept9mos09

Sept9mos10

IPO Mkt

Revenues ($mm)

$3,255

$3,400

$2,571

$1,903

$2,149

Cap (mm)

Operating inc (loss) of rev

-6%

3%

5%

4%

8%

$1,784

Interest exp % of rev

6%

7%

8%

7%

9%

@$14

Derivative interest exp %

0.4%

1%

2%

2%

3%

Inc tax (benefit) exp % of rev

7.3%

0.3%

12.7%

0.3%

0.1%

Net income (loss)

-$126.0

-$146.0

-$435.0

-$79.0

-$77.0

Net income % of rev

-4%

-4%

-17%

-4%

-4%

Valuation Ratios

IPO Mrkt

Price /

Price /

Price /

Price /

% offered

annualizing Sept 9 mos

Cap (mm)

Sales

Earnings

BookValue

TangibleBV

in IPO

Swift Holdings (SWFT)

$1,784

0.6

-17

178.4

-2.9

53%

SCORECARD

Mgt

Market

Market Do-

Proprie-

Total

1-5, 5 is high

Growth

mination

tary

rating

20 is perfect

1.5

1.5

2

1

6

Compare valuations

Valuation Ratios

IPO Mrkt

Price /

Price /

Price /

Price /

Operating

annualizing Sept 9 mos

Cap (mm)

Sales

Earnings

BookValue

TangibleBV

Income %

Swift Holdings (SWFT)

$1,784

0.6

-17

178.4

-2.9

8%

Werner Enterprises (WERN)

$1,670

0.9

22

2.2

2.2

7%

Knight Transportation (KNX)

$1,650

2.3

28

3.0

3.0

13%

Heartland Express (HTLD)

$1,500

3.0

24

4.7

4.7

18%