NetQin Mobile (proposed NQ) IPOreport
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We make it easy, convenient and cost effective for individuals to find and gain access to the mobile Internet through high-speed, high-bandwidth Wi-Fi networks globally

NetQin Mobile (proposed NQ) is scheduling a $75 million IPO with a market capitalization of $475 million at a price range mid-point of $10.50 for Thursday, May 5, 2011.

SUMMARY & CONCLUSION

Base in Beijing, China, NQ provides security for mobile Internet services. Sales were up 21% to $80 million in 2010 from $66 million in 2090. NQ sequentially increased revenue for the past s five quarters while showing erratic gross margins and operating margins.

Annualizing the adjusted December 2010 quarter the P/E multiple is 87, which is high for a company with somewhat erratic sequential quarterly income statements. And competitors are increasingly targeting NQ’s market.

On other hand, if NQ can stabilize its gross margin and operating margin while increasing sequential quarterly revenue, the stock could do well.

Quarterly results

Sep-09

Dec 2009

March 2010

June 2010*

Sept, 2010

Dec, 2010

Revenues ($mm)

$1.5

$1.5

$2.4

$3.6

$5.4

$6.3

Gross margin %

53%

52%

66%

71%

75%

68%

Operating income % of rev

-91%

-100%

-23%

4%

23%

-167%

Income/loss ($mm)

-$1.3

-$1.4

-$0.4

$0.01

$1.0

-$10.5

% income of revenue

-87%

-93%

-17%

0%

19%

-167%

Note: Dec 2010 quarter includes non-cash stock comp expense of $12.2mm

Excluding the non-cash stock comp pre-tax income would be

$1.7

Taxes in China can be between 20 & 25%. Apply a 20% tax rate to get after tax income of ($mm)

$1.36

Valuation Ratios

IPO Mrkt

Price /

Price /

Price /

Price /

% offered

Annualize adjusted Dec qtr

Cap (mm)

Sales

Earnings

BookValue

TangibleBV

in IPO

NetQin Mobile (NQ)

$475

22.0

87

4.2

4.2

16%

BUSINESS

NQ is a leading software-as-a-service (SaaS) provider of consumer-centric mobile Internet services focusing on security and productivity.

According to a January 2011 Frost & Sullivan report, NQ is the dominant provider in the mobile security industry in China with a 67.7% market share as of December 31, 2010, as measured by the number of registered user accounts.

NQ provides a comprehensive suite of mobile Internet services that protect mobile users from security threats and enhance their productivity.

As of December 31, 2010, the number of registered user accounts for our services reached approximately 72 million in over 100 countries, representing a sizeable share of the fast-growing market for mobile Internet services.

COMPETITION

On the mobile security front, NQ competes directly with
. domestic PC/mobile security vendors such as Qihoo 360 and Kingsoft,
. overseas security software providers such as Symantec, McAfee, Trend Micro and Kaspersky, and
. other emerging companies offering mobile security products, such as Lookout.
Most of NQ’s competitors are traditional PC anti-virus providers who recently entered into the mobile security market. NQ has focused on providing mobile security services since the founding of the company.

On the mobile productivity front, NQ competes with services such as Apple MobileMe, although we are not in direct competition with them because NQ is manufacturer-neutral and platform neutral, whereas products and services such as Apple MobileMe are largely limited by platform or mobile device manufacturer.

EMPLOYEES – 378 as of December 31, 2010

 

USE OF PROCEEDS

$66 million from sale of 7.14 million ADSs

. $25.0 million for the expansion of sales and marketing efforts;

. $15.0 million for investments in technology, infrastructure and research and development activities; and

. Balance for other general corporate purposes, including working capital needs

NetQin Mobile

NQ, C+, 7

Post ADS equivalents: 45mm

Mobile security

% change

Beijing, China

2008

2009

2010

2010 vs 2009

IPO Mkt

Revenues ($mm)

$4.0

$5.3

$17.7

234%

Cap (mm)

Gross margin

48%

47%

71%

$475

Share related non-cash exp

$12.5

@$10.50

Operating income % of rev

-95%

-102%

-54%

Net income (loss)

$4

-$5

-$10

Quarterly results

Sep-09

Dec 2009

March 2010

June 2010*

Sept, 2010

Dec, 2010

Revenues ($mm)

$1.5

$1.5

$2.4

$3.6

$5.4

$6.3

Gross margin %

53%

52%

66%

71%

75%

68%

Operating income % of rev

-91%

-100%

-23%

4%

23%

-167%

Income/loss ($mm)

-$1.3

-$1.4

-$0.4

$0.01

$1.0

-$10.5

% income of revenue

-87%

-93%

-17%

0%

19%

-167%

Note: Dec 2010 quarter includes non-cash stock comp expense of $12.2mm

Excluding the non-cash stock comp pre-tax income would be

$1.7

Taxes in China can be between 20 & 25%. Apply a 20% tax rate to get after tax income of

$1.36

Valuation Ratios

IPO Mrkt

Price /

Price /

Price /

Price /

% offered

Annualize adjusted Dec qtr

Cap (mm)

Sales

Earnings

BookValue

TangibleBV

in IPO

NetQin Mobile (NQ)

$475

22.0

87

4.2

4.2

16%

SCORECARD

Mgt

Market

Market Do-

Proprie-

Total

1-5, 5 is high

Growth

mination

tary

rating

20 is perfect

2

2

2

1

7